2012 United States Senate election in California

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2012 United States Senate election in California
← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout 55.2% (voting eligible)[1]
  x150px x150px
Nominee Dianne Feinstein Elizabeth Emken
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 7,864,624 4,713,887
Percentage 62.5% 37.5%
California Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
County Results

Feinstein:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Emken:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2012 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The primary election on June 5 took place under California's new blanket primary law, where all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters voted for any candidate listed, or write-in any other candidate. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advanced to the general election in November, even if a candidate managed to receive a majority of the votes cast in the June primary. In the primary, less than 15% of the total 2010 census population voted. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein announced her intention to run for a fourth full term in April 2011[2] and finished first in the blanket primary with 49.5% of the vote. The second-place finisher was Republican candidate and autism activist Elizabeth Emken, who won 12.7% of the vote.

Feinstein and Emken contested the general election on November 6, with Feinstein winning re-election in a landslide, by 62.5% to 37.5%. This is the most recent US Senate election in California in which a Republican managed to advance to the general election. This means that the two most recent ones in the state, both 2016 and 2018, were senatorial elections between two Democrats. The next regularly scheduled election in which a Republican could potentially advance to participate in the general election will occur in 2022.

Primary

Candidates

Democratic Party

  • Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. senator since 1992[3]
  • Colleen Shea Fernald
  • David Levitt, computer scientist and engineer[4]
  • Nak Shah, environmental health consultant
  • Diane Stewart, businesswoman
  • Mike Strimling, attorney and former U.S. Peace Corps legal adviser

Republican Party

Libertarian

  • Gail Lightfoot, retired nurse

Peace and Freedom

  • Kabiruddin Karim Ali, businessman
  • Marsha Feinland, retired teacher

American Independent

  • Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor

Polling

Results

File:California Senate Primary election results by county, 2012.svg
Primary results by county:
  Feinstein >= 20%
  Feinstein >= 30%
  Feinstein >= 40%
  Feinstein >= 50%
  Feinstein >= 60%
  Feinstein >= 70%
United States Senate primary election in California, 2012[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 2,392,822 49.3%
Republican Elizabeth Emken 613,613 12.6%
Republican Dan Hughes 323,840 6.7%
Republican Rick Williams 157,946 3.3%
Republican Orly Taitz 154,781 3.2%
Republican Dennis Jackson 137,120 2.8%
Republican Greg Conlon 135,421 2.8%
Republican Al Ramirez 109,399 2.3%
Libertarian Gail Lightfoot 101,648 2.1%
Democratic Diane Stewart 97,782 2.0%
Democratic Mike Strimling 97,024 2.0%
Democratic David Levitt 76,482 1.6%
Republican Oscar Braun 75,842 1.6%
Republican Robert Lauten 57,720 1.2%
Peace and Freedom Marsha Feinland 54,129 1.2%
Democratic Colleen Shea Fernald 51,623 1.1%
Republican Donald Krampe 39,035 0.8%
American Independent Don J. Grundmann 33,037 0.7%
Republican Dirk Allen Konopik 29,997 0.6%
Republican John Boruff 29,357 0.6%
Democratic Nak Shah 27,203 0.6%
Republican Rogelio T. Gloria 22,529 0.5%
Republican Nachum Shifren 21,762 0.4%
Peace and Freedom Kabiruddin Karim Ali 12,269 0.3%
Republican Linda R. Price (write-in) 25 0.0%
Total votes 4,852,406 100.0%

Election contest

In July 2012, Taitz sued to block the certification of the primary election results, alleging "rampant election fraud", but her suit was denied.[14][15]

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Dianne Feinstein (D) $12,673,306 $12,105,960 $865,541 $373,734
Elizabeth Emken (R) $1,114,350 $1,110,209 $4,140 $4,479
Source: Federal Election Commission[16][17]

Top contributors

Dianne Feinstein Contribution Elizabeth Emken Contribution
Pacific Gas and Electric Company $120,700 Thomas H. Lee Partners $10,000
JStreetPAC $82,171 DevicePharm, Inc. $7,500
General Atomics $56,750 Troy Group $7,500
Edison International $54,250 Jelly Belly $5,500
General Dynamics $43,500 Autism Advocate $5,000
BAE Systems $40,000 Geier Group $5,000
Diamond Foods $31,599 Generations Healthcare $5,000
Northrop Grumman $30,800 Gingery Development $4,000
International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees $30,000 MIR3, Inc. $3,000
Wells Fargo $27,250 Northrop Grumman $2,800
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[18]

Top industries

Dianne Feinstein Contribution Elizabeth Emken Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $565,129 Retired $63,849
Retired $463,058 Republican/Conservative $35,800
Agribusiness $367,132 Financial Institutions $26,100
Real Estate $334,321 Real Estate $19,200
Lobbyists $324,196 Business Services $16,000
Financial Institutions $321,744 Misc Finance $12,750
Electric Utilities $313,450 Printing & Publishing $8,000
Entertainment Industry $300,321 Food & Beverage $6,000
Women's Issues $207,449 Petroleum Industry $6,000
High-Tech Industry $205,789 Lawyers/Law Firms $5,458
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[19]

General election

Candidates

  • Dianne Feinstein (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Elizabeth Emken (R), former Vice President of Autism Speaks[20]

Debates

No debates were scheduled. Senator Feinstein decided to focus on her own campaign rather than debate her challenger.[21][22]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Solid D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[25] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[26] Safe D November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Dianne
Feinstein (D)		 Elizabeth
Emken (R)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA May 27–29, 2012 1,575 ±2.5% 50% 34% — 15%
The Field Poll June 21 – July 2, 2012 848 ±3.5% 51% 32% — 17%
CBRT Pepperdine July 30 – August 1, 2012 873 ±3.3% 46% 34% — 21%
SurveyUSA September 9–11, 2012 524 ±4.2% 55% 37% — 9%
The Field Poll September 6–18, 2012 902 ±3.4% 57% 31% — 12%
SurveyUSA October 7–9, 2012 539 ±4.3% 54% 35% — 10%
Reason-Rupe October 11–15, 2012 508 ±5.1% 60% 34% 2% 5%
LA Times/USC[permanent dead link] October 15–21, 2012 1,440 ±n/a 55% 38% 1% 6%
The Field Poll October 17–24, 2012 815 ±3.6% 56% 32% — 12%
The Field Poll October 25–30, 2012 751 ±3.6% 54% 33% — 13%

Results

United States Senate election in California, 2012[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) 7,864,624 62.52% +3.09%
Republican Elizabeth Emken 4,713,887 37.48% +2.46%
Total votes 12,578,511 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

Dianne Feinstein Elizabeth Emken
County Votes  % Votes  %
Alameda 468,456 81.9% 103,313 18.1%
Alpine 409 64.1% 229 35.9%
Amador 7,051 40.8% 10,232 59.2%
Butte 43,681 49.3% 44,981 50.7%
Calaveras 8,878 41.6% 12,479 58.4%
Colusa 2,482 43.3% 3,253 56.7%
Contra Costa 300,194 70.1% 128,310 29.9%
Del Norte 4,065 47.4% 4,502 52.6%
El Dorado 35,776 41.3% 50,820 58.7%
Fresno 129,267 51.1% 123,499 48.9%
Glenn 3,520 39.0% 5,515 61.0%
Humboldt 36,162 65.0% 19,437 35.0%
Imperial 25,342 67.2% 12,346 32.8%
Inyo 3,333 42.6% 4,494 57.4%
Kern 92,252 42.3% 125,906 57.7%
Kings 13,304 42.6% 17,916 57.4%
Lake 13,543 59.0% 9,424 41.0%
Lassen 3,150 29.9% 7,390 70.1%
Los Angeles 2,183,654 71.5% 868,924 28.5%
Madera 15,997 41.1% 22,942 58.9%
Marin 105,153 80.1% 26,105 19.9%
Mariposa 3,551 40.3% 5,268 59.7%
Mendocino 24,254 70.3% 10,224 29.7%
Merced 32,955 55.0% 27,000 45.0%
Modoc 1,188 30.1% 2,761 69.9%
Mono 2,600 52.0% 2,404 48.0%
Monterey 84,585 69.6% 36,930 30.4%
Napa 37,122 66.5% 18,682 33.5%
Nevada 25,495 50.4% 25,078 49.6%
Orange 515,902 47.5% 570,574 52.5%
Placer 68,599 41.4% 97,139 58.6%
Plumas 4,162 42.8% 5,560 57.2%
Riverside 327,698 51.9% 303,651 48.1%
Sacramento 302,078 60.7% 195,412 39.3%
San Benito 11,389 61.1% 7,255 38.9%
San Bernardino 298,067 54.0% 253,433 46.0%
San Diego 622,781 54.4% 521,884 45.6%
San Francisco 305,126 88.5% 39,589 11.5%
San Joaquin 113,706 57.0% 85,787 43.0%
San Luis Obispo 62,216 50.8% 60,262 49.2%
San Mateo 213,503 77.2% 62,979 22.8%
Santa Barbara 93,921 59.6% 63,599 40.4%
Santa Clara 454,647 72.9% 168,722 27.1%
Santa Cruz 91,109 78.2% 25,463 21.8%
Shasta 27,155 36.5% 47,184 63.5%
Sierra 677 38.6% 1,078 61.4%
Siskiyou 8,196 42.0% 11,334 58.0%
Solano 98,251 66.0% 50,634 34.0%
Sonoma 154,892 73.7% 55,256 26.3%
Stanislaus 78,470 51.8% 73,060 48.2%
Sutter 12,395 41.2% 17,715 58.8%
Tehama 8,349 37.0% 14,241 63.0%
Trinity 2,658 47.5% 2,943 52.5%
Tulare 42,395 42.9% 56,499 57.1%
Tuolumne 10,336 42.8% 13,823 57.2%
Ventura 171,483 54.4% 143,603 45.6%
Yolo 49,148 67.7% 23,468 32.3%
Yuba 7,896 41.0% 11,376 59.0%
Totals 7,864,624 62.52% 4,713,887 37.48%

See also

References

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External links

Official campaign sites (Archived)
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