2018 Vermont gubernatorial election

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Vermont gubernatorial election, 2018
← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →
  x150px x150px
Nominee Phil Scott Christine Hallquist
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 151,261 110,335
Percentage 54.4% 39.7%
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County results

Scott:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%

Hallquist:      50–60%
Governor before election

Phil Scott
Republican

 Elected Governor

Phil Scott
Republican

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The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1]

Background

Along with New Hampshire, Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Phil Scott was elected in the 2016 election.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated in primary

  • Keith Stern, businessman[2]

Endorsements

Debates and forums

Results

File:2018 VT GOV GOP primary.svg
Results by county:
  Scott—70–80%
  Scott—60–70%
  Scott—50–60%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent) 24,042 65.4
Republican Keith Stern 11,617 31.6
Republican Blank votes 700 1.9
Republican Write-ins 401 1.1
Republican Overvotes 20 0.0
Total votes 36,780 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • James Ehlers, executive director of Lake Champlain International and environmentalist[5]
  • John S. Rodgers, current State Senator from Essex County, former State Representative, and construction business owner[6] (write-in candidate)
  • Brenda Siegel, opioid epidemic and Brattleboro hurricane relief activist and worker, former community organizer for Bernie Sanders, southern Vermont nonprofit executive and founding director[7]
  • Ethan Sonneborn, freshman in high school[8] who began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[9] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[10] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[11] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[11] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.

Endorsements

Debates and forums

Results

File:2018 VT GOV Dem primary.svg
Results by county:
  Hallquist—60–70%
  Hallquist—50–60%
  Hallquist—40–50%
  Hallquist—<40%
  Siegel—40–50%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christine Hallquist 27,622 39.8
Democratic James Ehlers 12,668 18.3
Democratic Brenda Siegel 12,260 17.7
Democratic Blank votes 7,997 11.5
Democratic Ethan Sonneborn 4,696 6.8
Democratic Write-ins (other) 3,074 4.4
Democratic John S. Rodgers (write-in) 950 1.4
Democratic Overvotes 68 0.1
Total votes 69,344 100.0

With this result, Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[16]

Progressive primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary

Write-in
  • Brenda Siegel (also running in Democratic primary)

Endorsements

Debates and forums

Results

Vermont Progressive Party primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
VT Progressive Write-ins 365 60.8
VT Progressive Blank votes 199 33.2
VT Progressive Brenda Siegel (write-in) 35 6.0
Total votes 599 100.0

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Withdrawn

Liberty Union nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Emily Peyton, candidate for governor in 2014[19]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Write-in

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
FiveThirtyEight[26] Solid R October 17, 2018
The Washington Post[27] Likely R October 16, 2018
Politico[28] Lean R October 9, 2018
Fox News[29][lower-alpha 1] Likely R October 9, 2018
Governing[30] Safe R October 2, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R September 20, 2018
The Cook Political Report[32] Solid R September 17, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[33] Safe R September 14, 2018
Real Clear Politics[34] Likely R August 9, 2018
Daily Kos[35] Safe R June 5, 2018
Notes

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Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Phil
Scott (R)		 Christine
Hallquist (D)		 Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018 885 ± 3.3% 49% 39% – 12%
Braun Research October 5–14, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 42% 28% 7%[52] 22%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) September 23–26, 2018 406 ± 4.9% 50% 42% – –

Results

Vermont gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Phil Scott (incumbent) 151,261 54.37% +1.47%
Democratic Christine Hallquist 110,335 39.66% -4.51%
Independent Trevor Barlow 3,266 1.17% N/A
Independent Charles Laramie 2,287 0.82% N/A
Independent Cris Ericson 2,129 0.77% N/A
Earth Rights Stephen Marx 1,855 0.67% N/A
Liberty Union Emily Peyton 1,839 0.66% -2.17%
n/a Write-ins 1,115 0.41% -0.31%
Total votes 274,087 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  19. ↑ 19.0 19.1 https://www.sec.state.vt.us/media/914034/2018-general-election-candidate-listing.xlsx
  20. ↑ name=https://www.trevor4vt.com
  21. ↑ https://www.laramieforvtgov.com/about
  22. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  37. ↑ https://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/01/vt-insights-hallquist-approved-obama-biden-warren-and-sanders/1336779002
  38. ↑ https://www.wcax.com/content/news/Vice-President-Joe-Biden-endorses-Christine-Hallquist-493933461.html
  39. ↑ 39.0 39.1 39.2 39.3 39.4 39.5 https://www.christineforvermont.com/supporters/
  40. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  41. ↑ 41.00 41.01 41.02 41.03 41.04 41.05 41.06 41.07 41.08 41.09 41.10 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  49. ↑ 49.0 49.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  50. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  51. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  52. ↑ Trevor Barlow (I), Cris Ericson (I), Charles Laramie (I), and Emily Peyton (LU) with 1%; none/write in/other with 3%


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