Division of North Sydney
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North Sydney Australian House of Representatives Division |
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Division of North Sydney (green) in New South Wales
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Created | 1901 |
MP | Trent Zimmerman |
Party | Liberal Party |
Namesake | North Sydney, New South Wales |
Electors | 104,352 (2015)[1] |
Area | 48 km2 (18.5 sq mi) |
Demographic | Inner Metropolitan |
The Division of North Sydney is an Australian electoral division in the state of New South Wales. It was proclaimed in 1900 and was one of the original 75 federation divisions contested at the first federal election.
Located along Sydney's North Shore, the division is named after the North Sydney area and includes the suburbs of Artarmon, Cammeray, Cremorne, Cremorne Point, Crows Nest, Gore Hill, Greenwich, Henley, Hunters Hill, Huntleys Point, Kirribilli, Lane Cove, Lane Cove North, Lane Cove West, Lavender Bay, Linley Point, Longueville, McMahons Point, Milsons Point, Naremburn, Neutral Bay, Northbridge, Northwood, Riverview, St Leonards, Waverton, Wollstonecraft, Woolwich and parts of Castlecrag, Gladesville and Willoughby.
Second only to the nearby Division of Wentworth, the Division of North Sydney has the nation's second highest proportion (56.4%) of high income families.[2] As with all North Shore seats, the division is a safe seat for the Liberal Party of Australia, though the Australian Labor Party came within 3.1 percent of winning North Sydney at the 1943 election landslide. North Sydney and Wentworth are the only two federation divisions in New South Wales to have never been held by Labor. It has been held by a member of a non-Labor party for all but six years of its existence, when held by "father of the independents" Ted Mack, from the 1990 election before choosing to resign from federal parliament after two terms at the 1996 election, for the same reason he previously chose to resign from state parliament after two terms − to avoid receiving a parliamentary pension.[3]
Succeeding Mack was Joe Hockey who represented North Sydney from 1996 to 2015 and served as Abbott Government Treasurer from 2013 to 2015. Following the successful September 2015 Liberal leadership spill Hockey moved to the backbench, however six days later he announced his intention to resign from parliament, taking effect from 23 October. The 2015 North Sydney by-election occurred on 5 December to elect his replacement, Trent Zimmerman, a former Hockey staffer, despite a large swing.[4][5]
Zimmerman won with 48.2 percent of the primary vote after a larger-than-predicted 12.8 percent swing against the Turnbull Coalition Government. This was only the second time in North Sydney since federation that the successful Liberal candidate did not obtain a majority of the primary vote and had to rely on preferences. Zimmerman faced a double-digit primary vote swing − more than triple that of the 2015 Canning by-election − despite the absence of a Labor candidate. Labor have never been successful in the safe Liberal seat.[2]
The Liberal two-candidate vote of 60.2 percent against independent Stephen Ruff compares to the previous election vote of 65.9 percent against Labor.[2] The reduction of 5.7 percent cannot be considered a "two-party/candidate preferred swing" − when a major party is absent, preference flows to both major parties does not take place, resulting in asymmetric preference flows.[6][7]
Ian Macfarlane attempted to defect from the Liberal party room to the National party room with accompanying demands for additional Nationals cabinet representation, and the Mal Brough James Ashby diary controversy deepened in the last week of the campaign.[8][9] Along with the unexpected by-election swing and Turnbull's significantly lessened personal ratings in the concurrent December Newspoll, some News Limited journalists opined Malcolm Turnbull's honeymoon to be over.[10][11][12][13][14]
Zimmerman became the first openly-LGBTI member of the House of Representatives.[15][16]
Members
Member | Party | Term | |
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Dugald Thomson | Free Trade, Anti-Socialist | 1901–1909 | |
Commonwealth Liberal | 1909–1910 | ||
George Edwards | Commonwealth Liberal | 1910–1911 | |
(Sir) Granville Ryrie | Commonwealth Liberal | 1911–1917 | |
Nationalist | 1917–1922 | ||
Billy Hughes | Nationalist | 1922–1929 | |
Independent Nationalist | 1929–1930 | ||
Australian | 1930–1931 | ||
United Australia | 1931–1945 | ||
Liberal | 1945–1949 | ||
William Jack | Liberal | 1949–1966 | |
Bill Graham | Liberal | 1966–1980 | |
John Spender | Liberal | 1980–1990 | |
Ted Mack | Independent | 1990–1996 | |
Joe Hockey | Liberal | 1996–2015 | |
Trent Zimmerman | Liberal | 2015–present |
Election results
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Liberal | Trent Zimmerman | 36,690 | 48.20 | −12.84 | |
Independent | Stephen Ruff | 14,303 | 18.79 | +18.79 | |
Greens | Arthur Chesterfield-Evans | 11,959 | 15.71 | +0.36 | |
Independent | Maryann Beregi | 2,613 | 3.43 | +3.43 | |
Sustainable Population | William Bourke | 2,189 | 2.88 | +2.88 | |
Christian Democrats | Silvana Nero | 1,917 | 2.52 | +1.51 | |
Liberal Democrats | Sam Kennard | 1,591 | 2.09 | +2.09 | |
Arts | Lou Pollard | 1,400 | 1.84 | +1.84 | |
Bullet Train | Tim Bohm | 964 | 1.27 | +1.27 | |
Voluntary Euthanasia | Kerry Bromson | 815 | 1.07 | +1.07 | |
Cyclists | Luke Freeman | 815 | 1.07 | +1.07 | |
Future | James Jansson | 513 | 0.67 | +0.67 | |
Palmer United | Robert Marks | 352 | 0.46 | −1.23 | |
Total formal votes | 76,121 | 93.08 | −1.54 | ||
Informal votes | 5,658 | 6.92 | +1.54 | ||
Turnout | 81,779 | 78.37 | −13.88 | ||
Two-candidate-preferred result | |||||
Liberal | Trent Zimmerman | 45,848 | 60.23 | −5.66 | |
Independent | Stephen Ruff | 30,273 | 39.77 | +39.77 | |
Liberal hold | Swing | N/A |
References
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External links
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2015 North Sydney by-election: Antony Green ABC
- ↑ Independents' 'father' says trio will choose ALP: ABC AM 6 September 2010
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ An Example of Non-Monotonicity and Opportunites for Tactical Voting at an Australian Election: Antony Green ABC 4 May 2011
- ↑ Liberal MP Ian Macfarlane defects to Nationals in shock move against Malcolm Turnbull: SMH 3 December 2015
- ↑ Malcolm Turnbull suddenly has a lot of problems: Business Insider 3 December 2015
- ↑ The honeymoon is over: David Speers/Switzer 3 December 2015
- ↑ Turnbull’s ‘honeymoon’ coming to an end: Courier Mail 3 December 2015
- ↑ Honeymoon over for Malcolm Turnbull: Herald Sun 6 December 2015
- ↑ Is the Turnbull honeymoon over?: Courier Mail 7 December 2015
- ↑ Turnbull ducks talk on Brough's future: The Advertiser 8 December 2015
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ When an election’s not a battle but a limp formality: Daily Telegraph 26 November 2015