Penrith state by-election, 2010

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A by-election was held for the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Penrith on 19 June 2010.[1] The by-election was triggered by the resignation of sitting member and Parliamentary Secretary for Education and Training Karyn Paluzzano, who had lied to an Independent Commission Against Corruption (ICAC) inquiry over her actions, such as signing false staff payslips and rorting her electoral mail allowance.[2] Paluzzano resigned from her position as Parliamentary Secretary for Education and Training after she admitted lying to ICAC. Paluzzano's Labor membership was terminated and she announced her resignation from Parliament on 7 May 2010.

The by-election came at a bad time for the government. In addition to the scandal surrounding Paluzzano, Labor was only polling at 39 percent support, a marked drop from the 2007 election. For these reasons, Penrith was considered vulnerable, even though Labor held it on a majority of 9.1 percent—a margin that would be considered safe under normal circumstances.

The by-election was won by Liberal candidate Stuart Ayres with a 25.7-point two-party swing. The size of this swing, at the time, set a new NSW record in terms of magnitude; previously, the highest swing was the 23.1 per cent swing achieved by the Liberal Party in the 2008 Ryde by-election. Additionally, this result marked the first time that the Liberal Party achieved a primary vote majority in Penrith, with the Labor primary vote having halved from the last election.[3] Indeed, it turned Penrith from a safe Labor seat into a safe Liberal seat on paper in one stroke. It preceded Labor's massive defeat at the 2011 state election. The two-party swing was to be outdone a few years later with a 26-point two-party swing against the Liberal government at the 2013 Miranda state by-election.

Candidates

Candidates are listed in ballot paper order.

Party Candidate Notes
  Australian Labor Party John Thain
  Australian Greens Suzie Wright
  Mick Saunders A member of the unregistered Australia First Party.
  Liberal Party of Australia Stuart Ayres Partner of Liberal Senator Marise Payne.[4]
  Outdoor Recreation Party David Leyonhjelm Contested Bennelong at the 2007 federal election for the Liberty and Democracy Party; former chair of the Shooters Party.
  Australian Democrats Jose Sanz
  Christian Democratic Party Andrew Green
  Independent Noel Selby

Results

Penrith state by-election, 2010[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Stuart Ayres 19,856 51.50 +18.95
Labor John Thain 9,437 24.48 −24.19
Greens Suzie Wright 4,679 12.14 +6.57
Christian Democrats Andrew Green 1,692 4.39 −1.81
Independent Noel Selby 1,047 2.72 +2.72
Mick Saunders 766 1.99 +1.99
Outdoor Recreation David Leyonhjelm 721 1.87 +1.87
Democrats Jose Sanz 358 0.93 +0.04
Total formal votes 38,556 96.78 −0.49
Informal votes 1,282 3.22 +0.49
Turnout 39,838 86.04 −5.14
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Stuart Ayres 21,831 66.48 +25.73
Labor John Thain 11,009 33.52 −25.73
Liberal gain from Labor Swing +25.73

References

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  3. http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2010/penrith/result.htm
  4. http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw-act/age-no-barrier-for-liberal-cougar-marise-payne-and-her-cub/story-e6freuzi-1225867002343
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