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2020 United States Senate election in Colorado
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November 3, 2020 |
2026 → |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States Senate Election in Colorado will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Under Colorado law, the filing deadline for U.S. Senate candidates was March 17, 2020, the third Tuesday in March of the election year; the primary election occurred on June 30.[1][2] Incumbent Republican Senator Cory Gardner is running for reelection to a second term, and will face Democratic former Governor John Hickenlooper in the general election.[3] Gardner was unopposed in the Republican primary, and Hickenlooper defeated former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary. Gardner is one of two Republican U.S. Senators facing reelection in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump lost in 2016, the other being Susan Collins from Maine.[4]
Background
Cory Gardner was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014, narrowly defeating incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall in a very successful election year for Republicans. Gardner is widely considered vulnerable in this election cycle due to Colorado's Democratic trend in recent cycles and his support for President Donald Trump.[5] The seat is expected to be highly competitive and is widely considered the most likely Republican-held seat to flip Democratic. The Democratic nominee, former governor John Hickenlooper, has a double-digit lead over Gardner in the polls.[6]
Various minor scandals in the days leading up to the June 30 Democratic primary sparked speculation that Romanoff might win, but Hickenlooper had an advantage in name recognition, and harsh negative attacks by Romanoff reportedly led many state Democrats and voters to sour on him.[7]
Republican primary
2020 United States Senate election in Colorado Republican Primary
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June 30, 2020 |
2026 → |
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| Candidate |
Cory Gardner |
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| Popular vote |
548,859 |
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| Percentage |
100.00% |
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Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- Margot Dupre, estate agent[9][10]
- Gail Prentice, veteran and business owner[11][12]
Endorsements
| Cory Gardner (R) |
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Organizations
- Other Individuals
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Results
| Republican primary results [20] |
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Republican |
Cory Gardner (incumbent) |
554,806 |
100.0% |
| Total votes |
554,806 |
100.0% |
Democratic primary
2020 United States Senate election in Colorado Democratic Primary
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| ← 2014 |
June 30, 2020 |
2026 → |
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County results
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Hickenlooper
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
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Romanoff
50–60%
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Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- Dan Baer, former executive director of the Colorado Department of Higher Education and former United States Ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe[24] (endorsed John Hickenlooper)
- Derrick Blanton[25]
- Marcos Boyington, software engineer[26]
- Diana Bray, psychologist and climate activist[27](endorsed Andrew Romanoff)[28]
- Denise Burgess, businesswoman and Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce board member[29]
- Ellen Burnes, Colorado State University professor and former chair of the Boulder County Democratic Party[30]
- Lorena Garcia, community organizer[lower-alpha 1][31]
- David Goldfischer, associate professor at the Korbel School for International Studies at the University of Denver and national security advisor[32]
- Mike Johnston, former state senator and candidate for Governor of Colorado in 2018[33]
- Danielle Kombo, medical recruiter and businesswoman[34](endorsed Stephany Rose Spaulding)
- Dustin Leitzel, pharmacist[35][36]
- Alice Madden, former majority leader of the Colorado House of Representatives[37]
- Christopher Hawkins Critter Milton, 2020 Unity Party nominee for Colorado's 3rd congressional district[38]
- Keith Pottratz, technician and veteran[39](endorsed Lorena Garcia)
- Stephany Rose Spaulding, professor at University of Colorado Colorado Springs and nominee for Colorado's 5th congressional district in 2018[40] (endorsed Lorena Garcia)[41]
- Erik Underwood, entrepreneur and candidate for Governor of Colorado in 2018[42]
- John F. Walsh, former U.S. Attorney for the District of Colorado[43](endorsed John Hickenlooper)
- Michelle Ferrigno Warren, nonprofit leader, immigration advocate, first time candidate[lower-alpha 2][44]
- Angela Williams, state senator (running for re-election)[45]
- Trish Zornio, biomedical scientist[22][46] (endorsed John Hickenlooper)
Declined
Debates
Endorsements
| John Hickenlooper |
- U.S. Presidents
- Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- U.S Senators
- U.S. Representatives
- State officials
- Local officials
- Newspapers
- Unions
- Organizations
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| Andrew Romanoff |
- State officials
- Individuals
- Unions
- Newspapers
- Organizations
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Polling
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Hypothetical polling
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- with Dan Baer and John Hickenlooper
- with John Hickenlooper and Mike Johnston
- with John Hickenlooper and Alice Madden
- with John Hickenlooper and Angela Williams
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Caucus
On March 7, 2020, the Colorado Democratic Party held a non-binding Senate primary preference poll at its caucus sites. Attendees could choose delegates to county and then state conventions. If a candidate received at least 30% of the delegates at the state convention they would be placed on the ballot. Some candidates were not listed because they instead chose to attempt to collect signatures to reach the ballot. Candidates needed 1,500 signatures from each congressional district. Hickenlooper and Underwood chose to do both. Romanoff collected the needed signatures as of March 8, 2020.[97][98]
Caucus results
Romanoff was the only candidate to get more than 30% in the initial precinct caucuses. Hickenlooper withdrew from the assembly process soon afterward, choosing to qualify for the ballot exclusively by petition. Ballot access for assembly candidates will be decided at the state assembly. Caucus winners do not always receive the party's nomination; Romanoff won them in the 2010 Democratic primary for Colorado's Senate race, but Michael Bennet won the party's nomination that year.[99]
The aggregate results of the various precinct caucuses on March 7, 2020, were:[100]
| Candidate |
Total Raw Votes |
Percentage of Vote Won (%) |
| Andrew Romanoff |
8,629 |
54.98 |
| John Hickenlooper |
4,761 |
30.34 |
| Trish Zornio |
976 |
6.21 |
| Stephany Rose Spaulding |
771 |
4.91 |
| Uncommitted |
520 |
3.31 |
| Erik Underwood |
35 |
0.22 |
Results
Other candidates
Libertarian primary
2020 United States Senate election in Colorado Libertarian Primary
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| ← 2014 |
June 30, 2020 |
2026 → |
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| Candidate |
Raymon Doane |
Gaylon Kent |
| Popular vote |
3,477 |
2,094 |
| Percentage |
62.41% |
37.59% |
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Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Libertarian primary results [104] |
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
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Libertarian |
Raymon Doane |
3,477 |
62.41% |
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Libertarian |
Gaylon Kent |
2,094 |
37.59% |
| Total votes |
5,571 |
100.0% |
Unity Party
Nominee
- Stephan "Chairman Seku" Evans, former candidate for Mayor of Denver[105]
Eliminated at Unity Party convention
Withdrawn
Write-in candidates
Declared
Withdrawn
General election
Predictions
Endorsements
| Cory Gardner (R) |
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Senators
- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Organizations
- Other Individuals
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| John Hickenlooper (D) |
- U.S. Presidents
- U.S. Vice Presidents
- Former U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- U.S Senators
- Kamala Harris, United States Senator from California (2017-present), 2020 vice presidential nominee[134]
- Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator (CO) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[135]
- Amy Klobuchar, Senator for Minnesota (2007–present), former 2020 presidential candidate.[136]
- Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2012-present), former 2020 presidential candidate[137]
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator (PA)[138]
- Chris Coons, U.S. Senator (DE)[139]
- Dick Durbin, U.S. Senator (IL)[140]
- Tim Kaine, U.S. Senator (VA)[141]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator (OR)[142]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator (NY) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[143]
- U.S. Representatives
- State officials
- Local officials
- Andrew Romanoff, former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives (2005-2009) and former 2020 U.S. Senate candidate in Colorado[149]
- Michael Hancock, Mayor of Denver[150]
- Wellington Webb, former Mayor of Denver[151]
- Jeff Bridges, State Senator[152]
- Brianna Buentello, State Senator[65]
- Terrance Carroll, former State Representative[153]
- James Coleman, State Representative[154]
- Jessie Danielson, State Senator[155]
- Kerry Donovan, State Senator[156]
- Rhonda Fields, State Senator[157]
- Leroy Garcia, State Senator[66]
- Julie McCluskie, State Representative[158]
- Dylan Roberts, State Representative[65]
- Tom Sullivan, State Senator[159]
- Brianna Buentello, State Senator[65]
- Leroy Garcia, State Senator[66]
- Dylan Roberts, State Representative[65]
- Other individuals
- Newspapers
- Unions
- Organizations
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Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin
of error |
Cory
Gardner (R) |
John
Hickenlooper (D) |
Other /
Undecided |
| Morning Consult |
September 11–20, 2020 |
613 (LV) |
± (2% – 7%) |
42% |
49% |
– |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[upper-alpha 3] |
August 30 – September 5, 2020 |
800 (LV) |
± < 4% |
46% |
51% |
3% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 4] |
August 28 – September 1, 2020 |
800 (LV) |
± 3.5% |
42% |
52% |
5% |
| Morning Consult |
August 21–30, 2020 |
638 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
39%[lower-alpha 12] |
48% |
13% |
| Morning Consult |
August 16–25, 2020 |
~600 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
39% |
48% |
– |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 5] |
August 18–19, 2020 |
731 (V) |
± 3.2% |
42% |
51% |
7%[lower-alpha 13] |
| Morning Consult |
August 6–15, 2020 |
~600 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
38% |
49% |
– |
| Morning Consult |
July 27 – August 5, 2020 |
~600 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
39% |
50% |
– |
| Morning Consult |
July 17–26, 2020 |
616 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
42%[lower-alpha 14] |
48% |
11%[lower-alpha 15] |
| Morning Consult |
July 13–22, 2020 |
~600 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
41% |
50% |
– |
| Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 6] |
June 29–30, 2020 |
840 (V) |
± 3.4% |
40% |
51% |
9%[lower-alpha 16] |
| Keating Research |
May 1–3, 2020 |
600 (LV) |
± 4.0% |
36% |
54% |
10%[lower-alpha 17] |
| Montana State University Bozeman |
April 10–19, 2020 |
379 (LV) |
± 4.4% |
31% |
48% |
21%[lower-alpha 18] |
| Keating Research |
October 10–14, 2019 |
500 (LV) |
± 4.4% |
42% |
53% |
5% |
| Emerson College |
August 16–19, 2019 |
1,000 (RV) |
± 3.0% |
40% |
53% |
8% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 7] |
August 13–14, 2019 |
617 (LV) |
± 3.9% |
39% |
49% |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 2] |
August 8–11, 2019 |
739 (V) |
± 3.6% |
38% |
51% |
12% |
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Hypothetical polling
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- with generic Democrat
- on whether Cory Gardner deserves to be re-elected
- with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
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Former candidates
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- with Mike Johnston
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Results
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Poll sponsored by Romanoff's campaign
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 Poll sponsored by 314 Action
- ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Progress Colorado, a progressive and pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
- ↑ Giffords endorsed Hickenlooper prior to this poll's sampling period
- ↑ End Citizens United supports candidates who oppose the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Poll conducted for Mike Johnston
- ↑ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- Voter samples
- ↑ A judge ruled that Lorena Garcia could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
- ↑ A judge ruled that Michelle Ferrigno Warren could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- ↑ Undecided with 15%
- ↑ Not yet released
- ↑ Standard VI response
- ↑ Undecided with 16%; Baer, Madden and Williams with 2%; Walsh with 1%; "someone else" with 4%
- ↑ With only Hickenlooper and Romanoff as candidates
- ↑ Undecided with 17%
- ↑ Undecided with 15%
- ↑ Undecided with 29%; Walsh with 4%; Williams with 3%; Baer and Madden with 1%
- ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ↑ Undecided with 7%
- ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and voters who are undecided or for third party candidates
- ↑ "Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 6%
- ↑ Undecided with 9%
- ↑ Undecided with 9%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ↑ "Don't know" with 17%; "other/none of the above" with 4%
- ↑ "Refused" with 3%; Undecided with 16%
- ↑ "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
- ↑ "Undecided" with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 4%
- ↑ Would not vote/would not vote for U.S. Senate with 2%
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
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