2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
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Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Elections in Kentucky
Seal of Kentucky.svg
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The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Kentucky voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until June 23, 2020. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[4]

Democratic primary

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General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[10] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[11] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[12] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[13] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[14] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[15] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[16] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[17] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[18] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
FiveThirtyEight until August 3, 2020 September 12, 2020 39.7% 55.9% 4.4% Trump + 16.2

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Sep 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 38% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 4%
Quinnipiac University Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 909 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 41% 4%[lower-alpha 4] 5%
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 793 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 4%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[upper-alpha 1] Jul 25–29, 2020 3,020 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% – –
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 2] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 60% 34% – 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 3] Jul 7–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% – –
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 4] Jun 2020 –[lower-alpha 6] – 54% 39% – –
Civiqs/Data for Progress Jun 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 57% 37% 5%[lower-alpha 7] 1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[upper-alpha 5] May 2020 –[lower-alpha 8] – 57% 36% – –
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[lower-alpha 9] May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 53% 36% 6%[lower-alpha 10] 5%
Public Policy Polling May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) – 55% 39% 5%[lower-alpha 11] 2%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[upper-alpha 6] Apr 7–12, 2020[lower-alpha 12] 4,000 (RV) – 55% 34% – –
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% – 4%
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 37% – 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Independent Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard
Independent Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Total votes

See also

Notes

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References

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  10. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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