2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
Turnout	%
Incumbent President; Donald Trump; Republican	; ;

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.^[1] Massachusetts voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.^[3]^[4]

Results

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Republican primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did former Massachusetts governor and Utah senator Mitt Romney.^[5]^[6]^[7]^[8]

Results

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Libertarian primary

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.^[9]^[10]^[11]

File:Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary results by county, 2020.svg

County results of the Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.

Vermin Supreme

Jacob Hornberger

Tie

Dan Behrman

Results

Green primary

Results

Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020 ^[13]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Dario Hunter	224	16.9	2
Howie Hawkins	217	16.4	1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry	141	10.6	1
Kent Mesplay	55	4.1	0
David Rolde	4	0.3	0
Write-In	369	27.8	0
No Preference	316	23.8	7
Total	1326	100.00%	11

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[14]	Safe D	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[15]	Safe D	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[16]	Safe D	July 14, 2020
Politico^[17]	Safe D	September 8, 2020
RCP^[18]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[19]	Safe D	July 26, 2020
CNN^[20]	Safe D	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[21]	Safe D	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[22]	Likely D	August 16, 2020
270towin^[23]	Safe D	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[24]	Safe D	July 31, 2020
NPR^[25]	Likely D	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[26]	Safe D	August 6, 2020
538^[27]	Safe D	September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Other/Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin
270 to Win	August 25–27, 2020	September 15, 2020	68.0%	30.0%	2.0%	Biden +38.0
RealClearPolitics	July 31 – August 27, 2020	September 15, 2020	64.0%	28.3%	7.7%	Biden +35.7
FiveThirtyEight	Until August 27, 2020	September 15, 2020	63.9%	30.0%	6.1%	Biden +33.9
Average			65.3%	29.4%	5.3%	Biden +35.9

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Joe Biden (D)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College/WHDH	Aug 25–27, 2020	763 (LV)	± 3.5%	31%	69%	–	–
MassINC/WBUR	Aug 6–9, 2020	501 (LV)	± 4.4%	27%	63%	5%^{[lower-alpha 3]}	4%
UMass/YouGov	Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020	500 (RV)	± 5.9%	28%	61%	–	–
MassINC	Jul 17–20, 2020	797 (RV)	–	23%	55%	10%^{[lower-alpha 4]}	12%
Emerson College/7 News	May 4–5, 2020	740 (RV)	± 3.5%	33%^{[lower-alpha 5]}	67%	–	–
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov	Apr 27 – May 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	30%	58%	7%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	4%
Emerson College	Apr 4–7, 2019	761 (RV)	± 3.5%	31%	69%	–	–

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	Apr 4–7, 2019	761 (RV)	± 3.5%	36%	64%	–

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	Apr 4–7, 2019	761 (RV)	± 3.5%	37%	63%	–

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts^[28]
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Donald Trump and Mike Pence
	Democratic	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
	Green	Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Total votes

Notes

↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^2.0 ^2.1 ^2.2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 3%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ "Another candidate" with 7%

References

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↑ https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/
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↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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[28] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-29] 2.0 ^2.1 ^2.2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[30] "Another candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 3%

[31] "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 3%

[32] Including voters who lean towards a given candidate

[33] "Another candidate" with 7%

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[13] ttps://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/

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[niskanen-19] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020

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[28]

Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020 ^[12]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Vermin Supreme	398	10.4%
Jacob Hornberger	369	9.6%
Blank	324	7.8%
Dan Behrman	294	7.7%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn)	224	5.8%
Arvin Vohra	151	3.9%
Ken Armstrong	145	3.8%
Jo Jorgensen	141	3.4%
Sam Robb	127	3.1%
Adam Kokesh	125	3%
Max Abramson	98	2.4%
All others	958	23%
No Preference	804	21%
Total	4,158	100%

v t e (2019 ←) 2020 United States elections (→ 2021)
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Related	Chinese interference George Soros interference

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

Contents

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Results

Republican primary

Results

Libertarian primary

Results

Green primary

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

See also

Notes

References

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