2020 United States presidential election in Utah

2020 United States presidential election in Utah
Turnout	%
Incumbent President; Donald Trump; Republican	; ;

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in Utah is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.^[1] Utah voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has 6 electoral votes in the Electoral College.^[2]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Utah politicians Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney both declined to run against Trump.

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Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.^[3]^[4]

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Likely R	September 10, 2020
Inside Elections^[6]	Likely R	September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Likely R	July 14, 2020
Politico^[8]	Likely R	September 8, 2020
RCP^[9]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
Niskanen^[10]	Safe R	July 26, 2020
CNN^[11]	Safe R	August 3, 2020
The Economist^[12]	Safe R	September 2, 2020
CBS News^[13]	Likely R	August 16, 2020
270towin^[14]	Likely R	August 2, 2020
ABC News^[15]	Safe R	July 31, 2020
NPR^[16]	Likely R	August 3, 2020
NBC News^[17]	Likely R	August 6, 2020
538^[18]	Likely R	September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden	Donald Trump	Other/Undecided^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	until August 1, 2020	September 12, 2020	36.9%	48.4%	14.7%	Trump +11.5

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics	Sep 7–12, 2020	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	35%	5%	0%	1%	6%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	31%	3%	1%	4%	11%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2	May 9–15, 2020	1,099 (LV)	± 3%	44%	41%	–	–	9%^{[lower-alpha 3]}	5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Apr 15–21, 2020	964 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	32%	–	–	8%	9%
Y2 Analytics	Mar 21–30, 2020	1,266 (RV)	± 2.8%	46%	41%	–	–	7%	5%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	33%	–	–	8%^{[lower-alpha 4]}	8%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	31%	–	–	13%^{[lower-alpha 5]}	7%
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	149 (RV)	–	36%	35%	–	–	14%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	5%

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Michael Bloomberg (D)	Other	Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	45%	32%	11%^{[lower-alpha 7]}	13%

with Donald Trump and Cory Booker

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Cory Booker (D)	Other	Undecided
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	153 (RV)	–	31%	43%	23%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	3%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Pete Buttigieg (D)	Other	Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	25%	13%^{[lower-alpha 9]}	14%
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	144 (RV)	–	48%	28%	15%^{[lower-alpha 10]}	9%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Kamala Harris (D)	Other	Undecided
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	144 (RV)	–	48%	33%	15%^{[lower-alpha 11]}	5%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Amy Klobuchar (D)	Other	Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	23%	14%^{[lower-alpha 12]}	14%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Beto O'Rourke (D)	Other	Undecided
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	140 (RV)	–	41%	27%	25%^{[lower-alpha 13]}	7%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Bernie Sanders (D)	Other	Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	33%	9%^{[lower-alpha 14]}	7%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	31%	13%^{[lower-alpha 15]}	6%
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	153 (RV)	–	38%	44%	14%^{[lower-alpha 16]}	5%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Elizabeth Warren (D)	Other	Undecided
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	28%	12%^{[lower-alpha 17]}	10%
Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News	Jan 15–22, 2020	1,017 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	28%	12%^{[lower-alpha 18]}	10%
Y2 Analytics	Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019	144 (RV)	–	39%	36%	19%^{[lower-alpha 19]}	6%

Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News	Jan 16–30, 2020	2,174 (LV)	–	47%	31%	12%^{[lower-alpha 20]}	10%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News	Sep 25 – Oct 8, 2019	944 (LV)	–	41%	33%	16%^{[lower-alpha 21]}	10%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News	Jun 27 – Jul 17, 2019	2,464 (LV)	–	38%	30%	18%^{[lower-alpha 22]}	14%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 2]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump (R)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce	Feb 28 – Mar 11, 2020	798 (LV)	± 3.47%	52%	45%^{[lower-alpha 23]}	3%
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce	Oct 3–10, 2019	600 (LV)	± 4%	50%	46%^{[lower-alpha 23]}	4%
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce	Jun 11 – Jul 1, 2019	801 (LV)	–	45%	52%^{[lower-alpha 23]}	4%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Utah^[19]
Party		Candidate
	Republican	Donald Trump and Mike Pence
	Democratic	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
	Green	Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
	Constitution	Don Blankenship and William Mohr
	Socialism and Liberation	Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
	Independent	Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard
	Independent	Joe McHugh and Elizabeth Storm
	Independent	Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Total votes

Notes

↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ ^2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 1%
↑ Other with 5%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%
↑ Other with 8%; would not vote with 3%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 16%; other with 7%
↑ Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 12%; other with 3%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 13%; other with 2%
↑ Other with 10%; would not vote with 4%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 20%; other with 5%
↑ Other with 6%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Other with 10%; would not vote with 3%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%
↑ Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%
↑ Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%
↑ "A third-party candidate" with 15%; other with 4%
↑ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 4%
↑ "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 4%
↑ "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 6%
↑ ^23.0 ^23.1 ^23.2 Listed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")

References

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↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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[19] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[key-20] 2.00 ^2.01 ^2.02 ^2.03 ^2.04 ^2.05 ^2.06 ^2.07 ^2.08 ^2.09 ^2.10 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[21] "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 1%

[22] Other with 5%; would not vote with 3%

[23] Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%

[24] "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%

[25] Other with 8%; would not vote with 3%

[26] "A third-party candidate" with 16%; other with 7%

[27] Other with 9%; would not vote with 4%

[28] "A third-party candidate" with 12%; other with 3%

[29] "A third-party candidate" with 13%; other with 2%

[30] Other with 10%; would not vote with 4%

[31] "A third-party candidate" with 20%; other with 5%

[32] Other with 6%; would not vote with 3%

[33] Other with 10%; would not vote with 3%

[34] "A third-party candidate" with 10%; other with 4%

[35] Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%

[36] Other with 9%; would not vote with 3%

[37] "A third-party candidate" with 15%; other with 4%

[38] "Third party candidate" with 8%; "other" with 4%

[39] "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 4%

[40] "Third party candidate" with 12%; "other" with 6%

[someonenew-41] 23.0 ^23.1 ^23.2 Listed as "Time to give someone new a chance to serve" (as opposed to "should be re-elected")

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[niskanen-10] 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020

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Related	Chinese interference George Soros interference

2020 United States presidential election in Utah

Contents

Primary elections

Republican primary

Democratic primary

General election

Predictions

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Polls

Results

Notes

See also

References

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