2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


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The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Donald Trump won the state in 2016 by a narrow margin of 0.72%. After worse than expected results for Republicans in the 2018 midterm elections, Pennsylvania is expected to have a close result again in the 2020 election.[3]

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 2, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. For the Democratic Party, Vice President Joe Biden, who was born in Pennsylvania and lived there until he was ten years old, became the presidential nominee, having been the presumptive nominee since Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[4] Safe D (flip) September 22, 2020
The Cook Political Report[5] Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Lean D (flip) September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Lean D (flip) July 14, 2020
Politico[8] Lean D (flip) September 8, 2020
RCP[9] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[10] Likely D (flip) July 26, 2020
CNN[11] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
The Economist[12] Likely D (flip) September 2, 2020
CBS News[13] Lean D (flip) August 16, 2020
270towin[14] Lean D (flip) August 2, 2020
ABC News[15] Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR[16] Lean D (flip) August 3, 2020
NBC News[17] Lean D (flip) August 6, 2020
538[18] Tilt D (flip) September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270 to Win August 28 – September 20, 2020 September 22, 2020 49.0% 45.0% 6.0% Biden +4.0
Real Clear Politics August 25 – September 20, 2020 September 22, 2020 48.6% 44.8% 6.6% Biden +3.8
FiveThirtyEight until September 20, 2020 September 22, 2020 49.7% 45.1% 5.2% Biden +4.6
Average 49.1% 45.0% 5.9% Biden +4.1

2020 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Howie
Hawkins
Green		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Sep 9–22 1,012 (LV) – 45% 47% 2% 0% – –
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal		 Sep 10–21 642 (LV) – 45%[lower-alpha 3] 49% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–21 2,616 (RV) – 45% 52% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 579 (LV) – 45% 49% - - – –
Franklin & Marshall College Sep 14–20 480 (LV) ± 7.8% 42% 48% - - – –
CPEC[upper-alpha 1] Sep 15–17 830 (LV) ± 2.3% 45% 50% - - 1%[lower-alpha 4] 4%
Trafalgar Group (R) Sep 15–17 1,006 (LV) ± 2.99% 45% 47% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 2%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–16 611 (LV) ± 4.5% 46% 49% - - 2%[lower-alpha 6] 4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 2] Sep 11–15 704 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 52% - - 1%[lower-alpha 7] 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–14 1,036 (LV) ± 3.04% 44% 49% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 8] 5%
Climate Nexus Sep 8–11 659 (RV) ± 4% 43% 48% - - 3%[lower-alpha 9] 6%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Aug 28 – Sep 8 1,600 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 49% - - – –
Marist College/NBC News Aug 31 – Sep 7 771 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 53% - - 1% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7 2,227 (LV) ± (2%-4%) 45%[lower-alpha 10] 50% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–6 829 (LV) – 46% 50% - - 4%[lower-alpha 11] –
TargetSmart Sep 3–6 835 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 51% - - 3% 3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. Aug 26 – Sep 4 498 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 44% - - 6%[lower-alpha 12] 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 30 – Sep 3 1,053 (LV) ± 3.02% 43% 48% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 13] 7%
Quinnipiac Aug 28 – Sep 1 1,235 (LV) ± 3% 44% 52% - - 1%[lower-alpha 14] 3%
Monmouth University Aug 28–31 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 45% 49% 2% 0% 1%[lower-alpha 15] 4%
400 (LV) 46%[lower-alpha 16] 49% - - 2% 3%
47%[lower-alpha 17] 48% - - 2% 3%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 3] Aug 26–31 600 (LV) – 45% 51% - - – 4%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31 3,531 (RV) – 45% 52% - - – 3%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30 2,158 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 45% 49% - - – –
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 25–27 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 46% 46% - - 4%[lower-alpha 18] 4%
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[upper-alpha 4] Aug 20–24 971 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 52% - - – 5%
Franklin & Marshall College Aug 17–24 681 (RV) ± 5.2% 42%[lower-alpha 19] 50% - - 3%[lower-alpha 20] 7%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 984 (LV) – 46% 49% - - – –
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020
/League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club[upper-alpha 5]		 Aug 13–19 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 42%[lower-alpha 21] 50% 2% 1% – 5%
43%[lower-alpha 22] 53% - - – 4%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 16–17 1,006 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 48% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 23] 8%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 6] Aug 13–17 617 (RV) – 44% 51% - - 3%[lower-alpha 24] 1%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Aug 11–17 416 (LV) ± 5.5% 45% 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 25] 3%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16 1,777 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 44% 50% - - – –
Emerson College Aug 8–10 843 (LV) ± 3.8% 47%[lower-alpha 26] 53% - - – –
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–9 456 (RV) – 44% 48% - -
YouGov/CBS Aug 4–7 1,225 (RV) ± 3.7% 43% 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 27] 5%
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[upper-alpha 7] Aug 2–4 400 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 50% - - – 4%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison Jul 27 – Aug 6 742 (RV) ± 4.9% 41% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 28] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31 4,208 (RV) – 47% 51% - - – 2%
Change Research/CNBC[1] Jul 24–26 382 (LV) – 46% 48% - - – –
Franklin & Marshall College Jul 20–26 667 (RV) ± 5.5% 41% 50% - - 2%[lower-alpha 29] 6%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26 2,092 (LV) ± 2.1% 42% 50% - - – –
Gravis Marketing[2] Jul 22–24 1,006 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% - - – 8%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–23 809 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 44% 4% 2% - 8%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 8] Jul 17–22 600 (LV) – 45% 51% - - – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 19–21 1,016 (RV) – 41% 48% 1% 0% 2%[lower-alpha 30] 8%
Fox News Jul 18–20 793 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 50% - - 5%[lower-alpha 31] 6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[lower-alpha 32] Jul 15–16 750 (LV) ± 4% 46% 51% - - 2%[lower-alpha 33] 1%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 9] Jul 11–16 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 47% - - – 5%
Monmouth University Jul 9–13 401 (RV) ± 4.9% 40% 53% - - 3%[lower-alpha 34] 4%
401 (LV) 42%[lower-alpha 35] 52% - - 3% 3%
44%[lower-alpha 36] 51% - - 2% 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–12 743 (LV) – 42% 50% - - – –
Trafalgar Jun 29 – Jul 2 1,062 (LV) ± 2.92% 43% 48% - - 6%[lower-alpha 37] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30 2,184 (RV) – 46% 51% - - – 3%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–28 760 (LV)[lower-alpha 38] – 44% 50% - - – –
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43 Jun 15–23 715 (LV) – 41% 46% - - 5% 8%
Redfield & Whilton Strategies Jun 14–16 1,125 (LV) ± 2.92% 39% 49% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 39] 9%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 8–16 651 (RV) ± 4.2% 40% 50% - - 3%[lower-alpha 40] 6%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–14 491 (LV)[lower-alpha 41] – 46% 49% - - 3%[lower-alpha 42] –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 10] Jun 8–11 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 54% - - – 4%
Change Research/CNBC May 29–31 579 (LV)[lower-alpha 43] – 50% 46% - - 2% 2%
Morning Consult May 17–26 2,120 (LV) – 44%[lower-alpha 44] 48% - - – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 10–14 963 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 48% - - 2%[lower-alpha 45] 11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 11] May 9–13 600 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% - - – 4%
Harper Polling (R) Apr 21–26 644 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 49% - - – 8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 12] Apr 20–21 1,251 (RV) – 44% 51% - - – 5%
Fox News Apr 18–21 803 (RV) ± 3.5 % 42% 50% - - – –
Ipsos Apr 15–20 578 (RV) ± 5.0% 40% 46% - - – –
Suquehanna Research/Fox 43 Apr 14–20 693 (LV) – 42% 48% - - – –
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 13] Apr 16–18 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% - - – 6%
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25 973 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 45% - - – 9%
Change Research Mar 21–23 510 (LV) – 50% 47% - - – 4%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 14] Mar 19–21 600 (RV) – 47% 45% - - – –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8 725 (RV) – 40% 46% - - 5%[lower-alpha 46] 8%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7 533 (RV) ± 5.3 % 45% 44% - - – –
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 47% 47% - - 2% 4%
YouGov Feb 11–20 1,171 (RV) ± 4.0 % 45% 46% - - – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18 849 (RV) ± 3.4 % 42% 50% - - 6%[lower-alpha 47] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18 500 (RV) – 42% 47% - - – 11%

2017–2019 polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 598 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 41% 8%[lower-alpha 48] 6%[lower-alpha 49]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Nov 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 43% 52% 4% 2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 46% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 45% 14% –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 43% 15% –
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 42% 53% 1% 3%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 45% 46% – 8%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 55% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 50% 4% –
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20, 2020 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 48% 45% 2% 5%
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 849 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 48% 6%[lower-alpha 50] 3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 39% 48% – 13%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 598 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 41% 9%[lower-alpha 51] 5%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20, 2020 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 46% 45% 3% 5%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 40% 46% – 14%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,171 (RV) ±4.0% 44% 44% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 849 (RV) ±3.4% 43% 47% 8%[lower-alpha 52] 2%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 598 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 40% 7%[lower-alpha 53] 7%[lower-alpha 54]
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 32% 23% –
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 44% 45% 4% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 45% 45% 3% 5%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 51% – –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20, 2020 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 45% 44% 3% 8%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,171 (RV) ±4.0% 43% 43% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 849 (RV) ±3.4% 42% 49% 6%[lower-alpha 55] 4%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 44% 4% 5%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 51% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 40% 8% –

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25, 2020 973 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 42% – 10%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 15] Mar 19–21, 2020 600 (RV) – 49% 43% – –
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 6–8, 2020 725 (RV) – 41% 43% 6%[lower-alpha 56] 10%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7, 2020 533 (RV) ± 5.3 % 46% 42% – –
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20, 2020 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 46% 49% 3% 3%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,171 (RV) ±4.0% 45% 47% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 849 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 48% 5%[lower-alpha 57] 1%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 43% 45% – 12%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 598 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 37% 8%[lower-alpha 58] 6%[lower-alpha 59]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Nov 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 45% 50% 4% 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 44% 14% –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 41% 15% –
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 43% 50% 2% 3%
Tulchin Research (D)[upper-alpha 16] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 51% – –
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 55% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 8% –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Feb 12–20, 2020 424 (RV) ± 5.5 % 47% 47% 4% 3%
YouGov Feb 11–20, 2020 1,171 (RV) ±4.0% 45% 45% – –
Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18, 2020 849 (RV) ±3.4% 44% 47% 8%[lower-alpha 60] 2%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Dec 3–5, 2019 598 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 40% 8%[lower-alpha 61] 5%[lower-alpha 62]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Nov 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 45% 50% 4% 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% – –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 43% 16% –
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 34% 21% –
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 (RV) ± 4.2% 44% 47% 3% 4%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 52% – –
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 813 (LV) ± 3.4% 38% 46% – 16%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Mar 17–25, 2020 997 (RV) ± 3.7% 48.6%[lower-alpha 63] 49.2% 2.1%[lower-alpha 64]
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18, 2020 500 (RV) – 38% 51% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University Jan 8–20, 2020 1,037 (RV) ± 3.2% 39.7%[lower-alpha 65] 49.5% 10.7%
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 752 (RV) ± 4% 29% 40% 22%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
F&M/PoliticsPA Mar 18–24, 2019 540 (RV) ± 5.5% 36% 61%[lower-alpha 66] 4%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Total votes

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020, also originally joining several northeastern states in holding primaries on the same date, including Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, and Rhode Island.[20] On March 26, Pennsylvania joined several other states in moving its primary to June 2 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[21]

Republican primary

Even though the Republican National Committee mailed Pennsylvania voters encouraging mail-in voting, describing it as a "convenient and secure” option, most Republicans expressed opposition to the prospect. Earlier, the Republican-controlled House blocked a proposal to mail every Pennsylvanian a mail-in ballot application. This was in-response to President Trump's skepticism of the practice, expressing concern mail-in voting may result in voter fraud that would potentially benefit the Democratic Party.[22]

2020 Pennsylvania Republican primary[23]
Candidate Votes  % Delegates[24]
Donald Trump 1,043,311 93.3% 34
Bill Weld 68,715 5.1% 0
Rocky De La Fuente (withdrawn) 20,187 1.6% 0
Total 1,132,213 100% 34

Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 34 pledged delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention (the state also has 54 unpledged delegates).[24]

Democratic primary

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Green Caucus

The Green Caucus was held during April 2020 and was won by Howie Hawkins.[25]

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ↑ CPEC campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates
  2. ↑ Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party
  3. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  4. ↑ Unite the Country PAC endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  5. ↑ The League of Conservation Voters and the Sierra Club endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. ↑ Rust Belt Rising campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates
  7. ↑ Heritage Action is the sister organisation of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  8. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  9. ↑ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  10. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  11. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  12. ↑ Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  13. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  14. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  15. ↑ The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign
Additional candidates
  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  4. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  7. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%
  9. ↑ "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 3%
  10. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  11. ↑ "Other/not sure" with 4%
  12. ↑ "Other" and "Refused" with 3%
  13. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  14. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  15. ↑ "No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with no votes
  16. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  17. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  18. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  19. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  20. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  21. ↑ Standard VI response
  22. ↑ If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  23. ↑ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  24. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  25. ↑ "Neither/other" with 3%
  26. ↑ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  27. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 3%
  28. ↑ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 0%
  29. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  30. ↑ West (B) and "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 1%
  31. ↑ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  32. ↑ This poll's sponsor, the American Greatness PAC, is pro-Trump
  33. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  34. ↑ "Another candidate" with 3%; "No one" with 0%
  35. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  36. ↑ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  37. ↑ "Other party candidate" with 6%
  38. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  39. ↑ "other" with 1%
  40. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  41. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  42. ↑ "Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%
  43. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  44. ↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  45. ↑ "Third party/write-in" with 2%
  46. ↑ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
  47. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 5%
  48. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; will not vote with 2%
  49. ↑ Includes "refused"
  50. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  51. ↑ A third party candidate with 6%; will not vote with 3%
  52. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 6%
  53. ↑ A third party candidate with 4%; will not vote with 3%
  54. ↑ Includes "refused"
  55. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 5%
  56. ↑ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  57. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 4%
  58. ↑ A third party candidate with 5%; will not vote with 3%
  59. ↑ Includes "refused"
  60. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 6%
  61. ↑ A third party candidate with 5%; will not vote with 3%
  62. ↑ Includes "refused"
  63. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  64. ↑ "It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.4%; "unsure" with 0.7%
  65. ↑ Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.
  66. ↑ 61% "time for a change" as opposed to "Trump has done a good enough job to deserve re-election"

References

  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  11. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  19. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  23. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  24. ↑ 24.0 24.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  25. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

Further reading

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.. (Focus on the town of Ambridge)
  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.. (Describes political geography of regions: Allegheny, Central, Dutch Country, Northeast, Philadelphia, Southeast, and West).
  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
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